Senator Claims to Support Trump, but Predicts He’ll Lose

( – Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) said that while he would vote for former President Donald Trump in a general election, he thinks he would lose to President Biden and should drop out of the race. Cassidy’s remarks came during a CNN interview where he noted that Trump now faces 91 felony counts and that Special Counsel Jack Smith’s investigation into the handling of classified documents would be a “slam dunk” against Trump.

Despite his opinion that Trump would lose to Biden, Cassidy believes that any qualifying candidates for the Republican National Committee (RNC) first Republican primary debate in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, would outperform Biden on the campaign trail.

Those who have qualified so far include former Vice President Mike Pence, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson.

Instead of debating, Trump will be having an interview with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson. FiveThirtyEight aggregate polling shows Trump leading by almost 40-points with about 54.3%, followed by DeSantis at 14.8%, Ramaswamy at 8.4%, Pence at 4.8%, Haley with 3.4%, Scott at 3.0%, Christie at 2.9%, and all other candidates below 1%.

Current polling in battleground states could assuage Cassidy’s concern that Trump is confirmed to lose the 2024 election. Cook Political Reports give Democrats 247 electors and Republicans 235 electors, putting 56 of the 538 total electors as tossups from the four states of Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Democrats only need 23 by winning two of these states, while Republicans need 35, which could mean winning two or three.

Recent Emerson College Polling gives Trump a one to two-point lead in Arizona. Prime Group gives Trump a four-point advantage in Georgia, a tossup in Pennsylvania, and a six-point Biden advantage in Wisconsin. This hypothetical based on polling would mean the race comes down to Pennsylvania, which Trump has won before, but no other presidential Republican candidate has won since 1988. Since Trump has won the presidency before, and polling between him and Biden remains competitive, critics believe Cassidy is a defeatist. However, with the general election over a year away, a lot can occur to impact the presidential election.

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